Will Uttar Pradesh be divided in 2027? The future may change after delimitation

Uttar Pradesh, India's largest state, may face a historic change after the 2027 delimitation and census. The state's population of over 25 crore and the potential seat increase may revive the demand for division. Political analysts, experts and leaders are discussing the issue, triggering a debate on the possibility of splitting UP into three states.

Dec 5, 2024 - 11:46
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Will Uttar Pradesh be divided in 2027? The future may change after delimitation

INDC Network: Uttar Pradesh: Will there be a division of Uttar Pradesh in 2027? The future can change after delimitation

What will happen in UP 2027?

The population of Uttar Pradesh will cross 25 crores after the census next year. Delimitation is then proposed in 2027, which could increase the number of Lok Sabha and Assembly seats. Will this be the basis for dividing India's largest state into three separate states? Know the reasons and possibilities behind this historic change.


Census in 2025

The proposed census in 2025 will present new data on the population of UP.

  • Current estimated population: 24 crores.
  • Population after 2025: More than 25 crores.

In terms of the world:
If UP were a country, it would be the fifth largest country in the world after China, USA, Indonesia, and Pakistan.


Proposed delimitation in 2027

The delimitation process will begin in 2027, based on the 2025 census.

  • Existing Assembly Seats: 403.
  • Existing Lok Sabha Seats: 80.
  • Estimated growth after delimitation:
    • Assembly Seats: Up to 500
    • Lok Sabha Seats: 100-110.

Estimated data of Assembly and Lok Sabha seats

Current seat Seats after delimitation
Assembly Seats (403) 500+
Lok Sabha Seats (80) 100-110

Will UP be divided?

Potential new states

Proposed State Capital Internal District
Uttar Pradesh Lucknow Up to 20 districts (Saharanpur, Meerut, Ghaziabad, Kanpur etc.).
Bundelkhand Prayagraj 17 districts (Chitrakoot, Banda, Mahoba etc.).
Purvanchal Gorakhpur 22 districts (Gorakhpur, Ballia, Kushinagar, Azamgarh etc.).

Why is there a need for sharing?

  • Development and administration challenges due to increased population.
  • Better management and development of small states (examples like Jharkhand, Uttarakhand, Chhattisgarh).

State Capital district
Uttar Pradesh Lucknow Saharanpur, Muzaffarnagar, Meerut, Ghaziabad, Bulandshahr, Moradabad, Rampur, Bareilly, Pilibhit, Badaun, Shahjahanpur, Etawah, Kanpur, Unnao, Hardoi, Lakhimpur Khiri, Sitapur, Rae Bareli, Barabanki, Faizabad (Total: 20 districts)
Brajbhoomi Prayagraj Chitrakoot, Banda, Mahoba, Jhansi, Jalaun, Lalitpur, Hamirpur, Fatehpur, Kaushambi, Allahabad (Total: 17 districts)
Purvanchal Gorakhpur Azamgarh, Mau, Ballia, Deoria, Gorakhpur, Kushinagar, Basti, Sant Kabir Nagar, Maharajganj, Siddharthnagar (Total: 22 districts)

Note:

Delhi will be given full statehood.

  • Saharanpur mandal and Meerut mandal districts will be included in Haryana state.
  • Ghaziabad, Bulandshahr, Rampur, Moradabad, and other districts will be reorganized into new states.

Opinions of political parties and leaders

Mayawati Government Proposal (2011)

  • Suggestion of 4 small states:
    • Green Pradesh
    • Awadh Pradesh
    • Bundelkhand
    • Purvanchal

The tree of BJP

  • In favor of small states:
    Formation of Uttarakhand, Jharkhand, and Chhattisgarh in 2000 under NDA government.
  • Mathematical benefits:
    If there is political benefit, then BJP can form small states.

Opposition to SP

  • Support of Akhand Uttar Pradesh.
  • Fear of weakening SP's Yadav and Muslim vote bank due to division.

Opinions of other leaders

the leader original idea
Rajnath Singh Partition of UP unnecessary. Population should be considered a resource, not a burden.
Sanjeev Balian Support of small states. Sharing is necessary for better development.
Uma Bharti Demand for making Bundelkhand a separate state.

New possibilities after limitation

One Nation, One Election Help

  • The division of UP into three states will help in coordinating the election processes.
  • Assembly elections may be held in these new states with the 2029 Lok Sabha elections.

Lack of seats in the assembly

  • There is not enough space for 403 seats in the existing UP assembly.
  • After the delimitation new arrangements will be needed for 500 seats.

Role of center for distribution

  • Opinion of Parliamentary and Legal Experts:
    Central Government does not need a resolution from the UP Assembly to divide UP.
  • Freezing of Lok Sabha-Vidhana Sabha seats:
    If the seats are frozen, then apportionment will not be required.

What is a political analyst?

Senior Journalist Birendranath Bhatt

  • Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath does not want division of UP.
  • After the delimitation, the decision of partition is not possible without their support.

Senior Journalist Anand Rai

  • Partition of UP has been in discussion since 1952.
  • Formation of Uttarakhand in 2000, but demand for Purvanchal and Harit Pradesh is pending.

Partition of Uttar Pradesh may become a big possibility after delimitation of 2027. However, this will entirely depend on political will and the math of profit and loss. The bifurcation of UP could be a historic step, which would not only establish better governance but also political balance.

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